HOUSE values are set to surge again as the latest real estate sales figures show Queensland has weathered soaring petrol prices and interest rate hikes.
The median price of a Queensland house has risen between 10 to 20 percent in most places over the last 12 months and even higher in some regional areas, according to Real Estate Institute of Queensland figures released exclusively to The Sunday Mail.
Southeast Queensland and regional centres including Gladstone and the Whitsundays are among the state’s hottest real estate growth spots, the new figures for the latest quarter show.
And even in lesser performing areas, median prices generally have remained steady.
The heartening figures, after a tough start to the year in economic terms, have prompted property experts to predict houses prices are poised to rise strongly again before the end of the year.
House-hunters and investors are tipped to swarm back into the market as the recent cuts to interest rates and the scrapping of stamp duty for first home buyers kick in.
REIQ president Peter McGrath said the message for would-be home-owners was simple: “The market has bottomed … the sooner they can move back into the market, the better.”
Property analyst Michael Matusik expects house prices to increase by 25 percent over the next two-and-a-half years, driven by the “strong fundamentals” of continued population growth in Queensland, the strength of the resources sector and a lack of stock.
The median house price across Queensland has almost tripled from $135,000 to $390,000 over the past decade, with Brisbane values soaring even faster – from $155,000 to $495,000.
The time to buy is now
But home buyers are being urged to move quickly because the market is poised to take off again on the back of cuts to interest rates and stamp duty.
“These results fly in the face of some commentators who had predicted doom and gloom and substantial price drops for property markets across the country,” REIQ president Peter McGrath said.
“Brisbane, particularly, was an extremely pleasant surprise.
“Considering what the consumer had to go through during that quarter – two interest rate rises and the filtering down of earlier interest increases, massive spikes in petrol prices and general negativity about the economy – the market has shown a lot of resilience.
“It’s set a very important platform for the market to ease forward later this year as interest rates begin to come down. The message is simple: The market has bottomed in real terms, interest rates have stabilised so if people have the financial capacity to enter the market, now is the time to start looking to go forward.”
Prices in the regions
The Whitsundays region performed the strongest over the three-month period, with median prices up 7.4 per cent to $385,000, while Gladstone’s industrial growth saw a 2.2 per cent rise to $390,000.
Rockhampton slipped 0.9 per cent to $315,000, Bundaberg stayed flat at $282,500 and Fraser Coast fell 3.1 per cent to $305,375.
Townsville’s median fell 1.8 per cent over the quarter to $355,500, Mackay’s by 1.5 per cent to $374,250 and Cairns stayed at $375,000.
Toowoomba’s median price of $259,000 remained unchanged and still offers the most affordable option in the southeast region.
Price factors
Mr McGrath said figures for the current quarter, up to the end of September, would also be flat or marginally lower due to a lag effect, but four “building blocks” were now in place for growth by year-end:
• The Reserve Bank’s decision on Tuesday to reduce the official interest rate by a quarter of a per cent – the first cut in seven years.
• Major banks passing the cut on immediately to customers.
• The removal of stamp duty on properties worth up to $500,000 from the start of this month should encourage first-home buyers back. The proportion of first-time purchasers, traditionally usually 20 per cent of the total, had slipped to 17 per cent.
• The flattening of prices in the June quarter had given prospective buyers some breathing space.
“They haven’t been chasing their tails with big price increases as they tried to save,” Mr McGrath said.
Defying market trends
The continuing mining boom and strong migration, especially from overseas, to Queensland underpinned the ability to escape the big falls that had been feared.
And results for the 12 months to the end of June show strong growth, with prices across most of SEQ and major regional centres climbing between 10 and 20 per cent.
With superannuation funds reporting their worst losses in two decades and the sharemarket down 25 per cent for the year, Mr McGrath said the rise in house values was impressive. In the past decade, the Queensland median house price has almost tripled from $135,000 to $390,000.
Property analyst Michael Matusik says returns on residential houses have outstripped all other major investment options over 10 years and predicts property prices will grow by 8 to 10 per cent per annum over the next three years.